The market makes Italy the favourite at 67.8% implied probability, with Betano paying 1.45 — the best price of the 9 bookmakers we compare.
In the UEFA Nations League, the home side won 36% of 86 settled matches this season, averaging 2.48 goals a game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 48% of them and both teams scored in 47%.
These are market prices, not a tip — the decision is yours.
Form, table and head-to-head
Italy sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League table on 4 points, Turkiye 4th on 0.
Italy have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of 3 matches this season, scoring 1.70 and conceding 1.30 a game. Turkiye have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of 3 matches this season, scoring 0.30 and conceding 2.70 a game.
In their last 4 meetings Italy won 3, Turkiye won 0 and 1 finished level. The most recent, on 28 Sept 2026, ended Turkiye 1–4 Italy.
Best available odds
What the odds imply: Italy 67.8%, draw 18.9%, Turkiye 13.3%. Implied probability from the consensus of 9 bookmakers, with the 5.7% margin removed.
Betano offers the best price on Italy to win: 1.45
Bet365 offers the best price on the draw: 5.25
Betfair offers the best price on Turkiye to win: 7.50
The gap between the best and worst price on Italy is 6.6% — 100 returns 145 at Betano but only 136 at William Hill.
Betano priced this match at 102.7% — the lowest margin of the 9 bookmakers listed here.
Comparing live odds across 9 bookmakers, updated continuously.
Frequently asked questions
Which bookmaker has the best odds for Italy vs Turkiye?
Betano currently offers the best price on Italy to win at 1.45. LaserOdds compares 9 bookmakers in real time so you always see the top available price for each outcome.
What do the odds suggest for Italy vs Turkiye?
The consensus of 9 bookmakers makes Italy the favourite at 67.8%. In the UEFA Nations League this season the home side won 36% of 86 matches, averaging 2.48 goals. These are market prices, not a tip.
Where are Italy and Turkiye in the UEFA Nations League table?
Italy sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League table on 4 points, Turkiye 4th on 0.
What is the recent form of Italy and Turkiye?
Italy have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of 3 matches this season, scoring 1.70 and conceding 1.30 a game. Turkiye have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of 3 matches this season, scoring 0.30 and conceding 2.70 a game.
What is the head-to-head record between Italy and Turkiye?
In their last 4 meetings Italy won 3, Turkiye won 0 and 1 finished level. The most recent, on 28 Sept 2026, ended Turkiye 1–4 Italy.
What is the win probability for Italy vs Turkiye?
Across 9 bookmakers the odds imply 67.8% for Italy, 18.9% for the draw and 13.3% for Turkiye. These are probabilities implied by the prices, with the 5.7% bookmaker margin removed — not a prediction.
When do Italy and Turkiye kick off?
Italy vs Turkiye starts on 5 Oct 2026, 18:45 (UTC), in the UEFA Nations League.
How many bookmakers does LaserOdds compare for this match?
LaserOdds compares odds from 9 bookmakers for Italy vs Turkiye, highlighting the best price for each outcome.
How much does the choice of bookmaker change the payout on Italy vs Turkiye?
On Italy, prices across 9 bookmakers run from 1.36 to 1.45. A 100 stake returns 145 at Betano against 136 at William Hill — a 6.6% difference for the same bet.
Which bookmaker offers the fairest odds on Italy vs Turkiye?
Betano, with a margin of 102.7% on this match. Margin is the bookmaker's built-in cut across all three outcomes — the lower it is, the more of the true price you keep.
Where can I bet on Italy vs Turkiye?
You can compare odds from 9 bookmakers for Italy vs Turkiye on LaserOdds and follow the link to your preferred operator. Please gamble responsibly.