

The market makes Ajax favourites at 72%. Ajax are 4th on 14 points, NEC Nijmegen are 11th on 7.
Average price across 8 bookmakers with the 7.4% margin removed. Not a tip.
League matches this season, latest result on the right.
In their last 10 meetings Ajax won 5, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 4 ended level.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | +15 | 16 |
| ··· | ||||
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| ··· | ||||
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Telstar | 6 | -6 | 5 |
Match facts refreshed daily.
The market makes Ajax the favourite at 72.0% implied probability, with Betano paying 1.32 — the best price of the 8 bookmakers we compare.
In the Eredivisie, the home side won 30% of 54 settled matches this season, averaging 3.81 goals a game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 78% of them and both teams scored in 72%.
These are market prices, not a tip — the decision is yours.
Ajax sit 4th in the Eredivisie table on 14 points, NEC Nijmegen 11th on 7.
Ajax have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 of 7 matches this season, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.30 a game. NEC Nijmegen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of 7 matches this season, scoring 1.70 and conceding 1.90 a game.
In their last 10 meetings Ajax won 5, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 4 finished level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, ended Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen.
What the odds imply: Ajax 72.0%, draw 16.7%, NEC Nijmegen 11.3%. Implied probability from the consensus of 8 bookmakers, with the 7.4% margin removed.
Betano offers the best price on Ajax to win: 1.32
Pinnacle offers the best price on the draw: 6.00
Bet365 offers the best price on NEC Nijmegen to win: 9.50
The gap between the best and worst price on Ajax is 3.9% — 100 returns 132 at Betano but only 127 at Bet365.
1xBet priced this match at 104.1% — the lowest margin of the 8 bookmakers listed here.
Comparing live odds across 8 bookmakers, updated continuously.