The market makes Penarol the favourite at 70.0% implied probability, with 1xBet paying 1.34 — the best price of the 7 bookmakers we compare.
In the Primera División, the home side won 43% of 51 settled matches this season, averaging 2.65 goals a game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of them and both teams scored in 59%.
These are market prices, not a tip — the decision is yours.
Form, table and head-to-head
Penarol sit 1st in the Primera División table on 59 points, Progreso 16th on 28.
Penarol have won 19, drawn 6 and lost 6 of 31 matches this season, scoring 1.70 and conceding 0.80 a game. Progreso have won 8, drawn 4 and lost 19 of 31 matches this season, scoring 0.90 and conceding 1.50 a game.
In their last 10 meetings Penarol won 9, Progreso won 0 and 1 finished level. The most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, ended Progreso 0–2 Penarol.
Best available odds
What the odds imply: Penarol 70.0%, draw 19.0%, Progreso 11.0%. Implied probability from the consensus of 7 bookmakers, with the 9.0% margin removed.
1xBet offers the best price on Penarol to win: 1.34
1xBet offers the best price on the draw: 5.22
Bet365 offers the best price on Progreso to win: 9.00
The gap between the best and worst price on Penarol is 5.5% — 100 returns 134 at 1xBet but only 127 at Bet365.
1xBet priced this match at 105.0% — the lowest margin of the 7 bookmakers listed here.
Comparing live odds across 7 bookmakers, updated continuously.
Frequently asked questions
Which bookmaker has the best odds for Penarol vs Progreso?
1xBet currently offers the best price on Penarol to win at 1.34. LaserOdds compares 7 bookmakers in real time so you always see the top available price for each outcome.
What do the odds suggest for Penarol vs Progreso?
The consensus of 7 bookmakers makes Penarol the favourite at 70.0%. In the Primera División this season the home side won 43% of 51 matches, averaging 2.65 goals. These are market prices, not a tip.
Where are Penarol and Progreso in the Primera División table?
Penarol sit 1st in the Primera División table on 59 points, Progreso 16th on 28.
What is the recent form of Penarol and Progreso?
Penarol have won 19, drawn 6 and lost 6 of 31 matches this season, scoring 1.70 and conceding 0.80 a game. Progreso have won 8, drawn 4 and lost 19 of 31 matches this season, scoring 0.90 and conceding 1.50 a game.
What is the head-to-head record between Penarol and Progreso?
In their last 10 meetings Penarol won 9, Progreso won 0 and 1 finished level. The most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, ended Progreso 0–2 Penarol.
What is the win probability for Penarol vs Progreso?
Across 7 bookmakers the odds imply 70.0% for Penarol, 19.0% for the draw and 11.0% for Progreso. These are probabilities implied by the prices, with the 9.0% bookmaker margin removed — not a prediction.
When do Penarol and Progreso kick off?
Penarol vs Progreso starts on 10 Oct 2026, 21:00 (UTC), in the Primera División.
How many bookmakers does LaserOdds compare for this match?
LaserOdds compares odds from 7 bookmakers for Penarol vs Progreso, highlighting the best price for each outcome.
How much does the choice of bookmaker change the payout on Penarol vs Progreso?
On Penarol, prices across 7 bookmakers run from 1.27 to 1.34. A 100 stake returns 134 at 1xBet against 127 at Bet365 — a 5.5% difference for the same bet.
Which bookmaker offers the fairest odds on Penarol vs Progreso?
1xBet, with a margin of 105.0% on this match. Margin is the bookmaker's built-in cut across all three outcomes — the lower it is, the more of the true price you keep.
Where can I bet on Penarol vs Progreso?
You can compare odds from 7 bookmakers for Penarol vs Progreso on LaserOdds and follow the link to your preferred operator. Please gamble responsibly.